Communication Services / Entertainment

The Walt Disney Company

AliceAliceOctober 14, 2024
Current Price: 

The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) attracts investors with its well-known brand, famous franchises, and diverse business areas. Disney's assets, such as theme parks, film studios, and streaming services, help it generate stable income. Despite recent challenges, Disney's strategic changes have put the company on a path to recovery.

Founded in 1923, Disney has grown into one of the largest media companies globally. The company earns revenue from several segments: Entertainment (film production, TV networks, and streaming), Sports (ESPN), and Experiences (theme parks, cruises, and vacations). This diverse revenue base helps Disney handle economic ups and downs.

The Walt Disney Company

Recent Financial Performance

Disney is gaining momentum under Bob Iger's leadership. In Q2 2024, the company made $4.77 billion in net income, up from the pandemic years but still below its pre-pandemic peak of $11 billion. Cash from operations hit $13.255 billion, similar to 2018, showing a solid financial recovery.

Disney's streaming service saw an 8.8% rise in subscribers, thanks to Disney+ and new bundles. Cost-cutting efforts, like a $7.5 billion reduction plan with job cuts, have helped boost profits.

DIS Quarterly Revenue

Quarterly revenue of The Walt Disney Company

Total revenue for Q2 2024 was $22.49 billion, showing recovery from the pandemic. The Entertainment segment saw big growth in operating income, helped by releases like “Inside Out 2.” The Experiences segment grew by 2%, and cash flow stayed strong, allowing Disney to fund new projects and pay dividends.

Strategic Moves and Expansion

Bob Iger's return has been crucial for Disney's turnaround. Disney has focused on creating content and making its streaming service more profitable. Its partnership with Warner Bros. Discovery for a streaming bundle reduced churn, which helps profits.

The Experiences segment, including theme parks and cruises, is Disney's largest profit driver, contributing 63.7% of operating profit. Disney is also expanding its cruise lines (from five to thirteen ships by 2031) and adding new attractions, which should drive future growth.

Disney is expanding internationally, with a merger in India with Reliance. This move should help Disney grow in the Asian market. Disney is also expanding streaming to new regions, benefiting from increased demand for digital content.

Disney's upcoming content, including sequels like “Avatar 3,” “Moana 2,” and “Toy Story 5,” will help grow both streaming subscribers and box office revenue. Disney's investments in content are key to keeping its position in the competitive entertainment market. The company also secured exclusive rights for popular events, boosting its direct-to-consumer advantage.

Disney is using technology to improve its theme park guest experience. AI-driven experiences, smart wearables, and enhanced mobile apps help customers plan and navigate parks more easily, increasing satisfaction and spending.

Financial Metrics and Analyst Views

  • Valuation and Metrics: Disney’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 18.95, below its five-year average, suggesting an undervalued position. The forward EV/EBITDA multiple is 12.11x, in line with pre-COVID levels. Analysts see this as a chance for value investors to buy into a solid company at a discount.
  • Revenue Growth and Profitability: Revenue and income are expected to grow 8-10% in 2024. The entertainment segment will be a key growth driver, while the Experiences segment may see short-term challenges.
  • Growth Potential: Disney’s growth comes from its content pipeline, global expansion, and technology investments. Analysts are positive about Disney’s long-term outlook, noting the company’s strong brand and diverse income streams.

DIS Analyst Recommendations

Analysts are mixed about Disney’s short-term prospects, citing concerns about costs in the Experiences segment and competition in streaming. But Disney’s brand, diverse revenue, and improving financial metrics make it attractive for long-term investors. Disney's tech and content investments are key growth drivers, with analysts retaining a positive five-year outlook.

Hurricane Milton's Impact on Disney

Hurricane Milton significantly impacted Disney's business, particularly its theme parks and tourism operations in Orlando. Disney World, along with other major parks like Universal and SeaWorld, had to shut down for at least two days due to the storm. This closure resulted in an estimated $90 million loss in revenue, as Disney typically earns about $45 million per day from park operations.

The hurricane also disrupted seasonal Halloween events, which attract large crowds and generate substantial revenue through ticket sales, merchandise, and food. Moreover, travel restrictions caused by airport closures further reduced visitor attendance, compounding the financial losses. Analysts estimate that the total impact of Hurricane Milton on Disney's parks division could range between $150 million and $200 million.

While the parks reopened quickly to limit further disruptions, lingering attendance drops and missed events suggest that the storm's financial impact may affect Disney’s performance in Q4 2024. This incident highlights Disney's vulnerability to climate-related disruptions, especially during peak tourism seasons.

Conclusion

Disney is in a good position for continued recovery, using its strong brand, varied assets, and strategic moves led by Bob Iger. The recovery in financial performance, especially in streaming and content, shows Disney’s potential as a long-term investment.

Short-term risks remain, especially in the Experiences segment and with leadership changes. But Disney's valuation offers a good opportunity for investors seeking both stability and growth. The company's focus on customer experiences, global expansion, and sustainability makes it a strong choice for investors. Disney is a major player in the entertainment world, with long-term growth potential.

Disney's efforts to grow streaming, its partnerships, and getting back to pre-pandemic metrics show that it is regaining its spot as a leader in entertainment.

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Information is provided 'as-is' and solely for informational purposes and is not advice. Prismo does not bear any responsibility for any losses or damage that may occur as a result of reliance on this data.